Le retour du risque géopolitique : Le triangle stratégique Russie, Chine, États-Unis
Ce podcast est délivré par Thomas Gomart. A partir d'une réflexion sur le risque pays, Thomas Gomart analyse les relations entre Washington, Pékin et Moscou en se focalisant sur les questions numériques, énergétiques et de sécurité. Ces trois puissances forment un triangle stratégique ayant à lui seul une dimension systémique. Il offre un point d'observation privilégié des transformations en cours du système international.
Cette recherche vise à améliorer les capacités d'anticipation des entreprises privées et des acteurs publics, qui nécessitent des capacités d'identification et de formulation des problèmes politiques rencontrés dans leurs activités. S'ils ne s'intéressent pas à la géopolitique, la géopolitique s'intéresse à eux.
L’intervention répond aux questions suivantes :
1) Quelle est la part que vous accordez à la géopolitique dans le risque pays ?
2) Quel est le triangle stratégique et quelles sont les conséquences de la transformation du triangle.
3) Pouvez-vous faire un point sur les relations bilatérales des membres du triangles, en précisant l’évolution de la relation Russo-Américaine ?
Erdoganism In Turkey
This podcast is performed by Eduard Soler. Erdoganism in Turkey: Erdogan has become the President of the Republic and continues to dominate Turkish politics. This briefing will analyze the results of the legislative elections of 2015 and discuss some of the most controversial issues in Turkish politics: the constitutional reform, the Kurdish issue, freedom of expression and foreign policy choices.
What Role and Strategies for NATO in the New Arch of Crisis?
This podcast is performed by Alessandro Marrone. The aim of the briefing is to analyze the debate within NAYO on which role the Alliance may play with regard to the arch of crisis stretching from the Mediterranean Sea to the Black Sea across the Middle East and Ukraine. Particular attention will be paid to the different threat perceptions of NATO Member States with respect to the Eastern and Southern flanks of the Alliance, the strategies agreed so far to deal such security threats and challenges, and the future perspectives.
TTIP and economic policies in the South Atlantic
This podcast is performed by Peter Sparding. TTIP negotiations, now well into their third year, are slower moving than many stakeholders in Europe and the United States had originally hoped for. Contentious public debates in several European countries, as well as the focus on the Trans-Pacific Partnership and the passage of Trade Promotion Authority in the U.S. have seemingly slowed down progress over the past few months. But where do negotiations actually stand at this point? What does the political calendar in Europe and the U.S. look like and how might it affect TTIP negotiations going forward? What are the problematic issues holding up progress? These are some of the questions this briefing will aim to answer. Given TTIP's potential impact beyond the immediate negotiation partners, the discussion will furthermore aim to explore what a successful TTIP might mean for third party actors in the Atlantic space and beyond.
India: One year of Modi
This podcast is performed by Nicolas de Pedro. Narendra Modi completes a year as head of the Indian government with his balance sheet in credit, but the prevailing mood is one of slight disappointment. The macroeconomic picture − lynchpin of Modi's victory − has substantially improved: India grew 7.5% in the first quarter of 2015 (displacing China as the world's fastest growing economy), with inflation falling from double-digits to below five percent; the rupee has stabilised; and deficits in both current accounts and fiscal terms are moving in the right direction and remain under control. But Modi is judged less in terms of these results than the enormous expectations raised during his electoral campaign. And the aspirational India that brought him to power, demanding, above all, prosperity, consumption, efficiency and transparency in public administration, has shown its dissatisfaction with the gradualist pace of change and the prudence shown in the government’s domestic policy. The achhe din, the "good days" Modi promised during the campaign, have yet to arrive. The country remains expectant given Modi’s promise and conviction that this is to be India's century.